Decision Intelligence Worksheets · V1
Validation Worksheet Pack v1
Printable, copyable worksheets for completing the Arceon validation journey.
How to use this worksheet pack
Use these worksheets after the Business Model Router and your selected ADA. Each worksheet transfers into the Arceon Decision Record.
Worksheet 1 — Five-Signal Demand Check
Decision answered: Does this business idea show enough real demand to continue validation before building?
Beginner rule: Score what people actually do, not what you hope they will do.
| Signal | Score 0 | Score 1 | Score 2 | Score 3 | Your score | Evidence notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Repeated Decision Frequency | Rare | Occasional | Recurring | Frequent and important | ||
| Information Friction | Easy today | Mild confusion | Hard to compare | Very fragmented | ||
| Consequence of Poor Choice | Low cost | Annoying | Meaningful loss | Serious regret/cost | ||
| Asset Maintainability | Hard | Unclear | Manageable | Strong repeatable loop | ||
| Trust-Preserving Monetization | Trust conflict | Weak path | Plausible | Strong trust-aligned model |
Transfer to Decision Record: total demand score, strongest signal, weakest signal, evidence needed next.
Worksheet 2 — Opportunity Scorecard
Decision answered: Is this opportunity strong enough to deserve further validation or a limited build plan?
| Criterion | Score 1 | Score 3 | Score 5 | Your score | Evidence notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clear user problem | Weak | Possible | Strong | ||
| Reachable audience | Weak | Possible | Strong | ||
| Willingness to pay/engage | Weak | Possible | Strong | ||
| Differentiation | Weak | Possible | Strong | ||
| Maintenance feasibility | Weak | Possible | Strong | ||
| Monetization integrity | Weak | Possible | Strong | ||
| Founder fit | Weak | Possible | Strong | ||
| Compounding potential | Weak | Possible | Strong | ||
| Defensibility | Weak | Possible | Strong | ||
| AI resilience | Weak | Possible | Strong |
Transfer to Decision Record: total score, top strengths, top weaknesses, must-improve criterion, scorecard result.
Worksheet 3 — Validation Playbook
Decision answered: What small tests should you run before deciding whether to build?
Beginner rule: A validation test should reduce uncertainty. It is not just research or preparation.
| Assumption | Type | Why it matters | Risk if false | Priority |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demand / Payment / Distribution / Maintenance / Trust / Technical | High / Medium / Low |
| Test | Assumption tested | Method | Timebox | Success condition | Failure condition |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Examples: sample dataset test for directories, decision-guide engagement for authority websites, pre-order/manual delivery for digital products, buyer interviews/manual prototype for SaaS.
Worksheet 4 — Go / No-Go Decision
Decision answered: Based on the evidence, should you build, gather more evidence, pivot, or stop?
| Area | Evidence strength | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Demand | Very weak / Weak / Moderate / Strong / Very strong | |
| Opportunity quality | Very weak / Weak / Moderate / Strong / Very strong | |
| Payment/engagement | Very weak / Weak / Moderate / Strong / Very strong | |
| Distribution | Very weak / Weak / Moderate / Strong / Very strong | |
| Maintenance | Very weak / Weak / Moderate / Strong / Very strong | |
| Trust/defensibility | Very weak / Weak / Moderate / Strong / Very strong | |
| Founder fit | Very weak / Weak / Moderate / Strong / Very strong |
Decision statement: Based on the evidence, my decision is: ____ because ____.
Transfer to Decision Record: final recommendation, confidence level, evidence supporting/against the decision, recommended next action, next review date.
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