Decision Intelligence Output · ADR-V1
Arceon Decision Record v1
The final product output of Arceon’s decision workflow: a structured record of what you chose, what you tested, what evidence exists, and what you should do next.
How this fits the Arceon workflow
Workflow: Business Model Decision Router → Business Model ADA → Five-Signal Demand Check → Opportunity Scorecard → Validation Playbook → Go / No-Go Decision → Arceon Decision Record.
Copyable Decision Record Template
Copy this structure into a document, notes app, spreadsheet, or future PDF. Leave unknown fields blank until evidence exists.
1. Record Metadata
| Field | Your answer |
|---|
| Decision Record ID | |
| Project / idea name | |
| Date created | |
| Last updated | |
| Current stage | Business Model Selection / Validation / Go-No-Go |
| Next review date | |
2. Business Model ADA Selected
| Field | Your answer |
|---|
| Selected Business Model ADA | |
| ADA recommendation | 🟡 Validate First / other |
| Secondary model worth comparing | |
| Why this model was recommended | |
| Why compare the secondary model? | |
3. Router Recommendation
| Field | Your answer |
|---|
| Router recommendation | |
| Router result category | Best Starting Point / Also Worth Comparing / Possible Later Path / Not Ideal Yet |
| Main recommendation drivers | |
| Contradiction warnings | |
| Router confidence | Low / Medium / High |
4. Five-Signal Demand Check Summary
| Signal | Score | Evidence notes |
|---|
| Repeated Decision Frequency | 0–3 | |
| Information Friction | 0–3 | |
| Consequence of Poor Choice | 0–3 | |
| Asset Maintainability | 0–3 | |
| Trust-Preserving Monetization | 0–3 | |
| Total Demand Score | 0–15 | |
5. Opportunity Scorecard Summary
| Field | Your answer |
|---|
| Total opportunity score | |
| Top 3 strengths | |
| Top 3 weaknesses | |
| Criterion that must improve before building | |
| Scorecard result | Pursue / Proceed Carefully / Rework / Pass |
6. Validation Assumptions
| Assumption | Type | Risk if false | Priority |
|---|
| Demand / Payment / Distribution / Maintenance / Trust / Technical | | High / Medium / Low |
| | | |
7. Validation Tests
| Test | Assumption tested | Evidence produced | Result |
|---|
| | | Pass / Fail / Unclear |
| | | |
8. Evidence Gathered
| Evidence item | Source | Strength | Notes |
|---|
| | Very weak / Weak / Moderate / Strong / Very strong | |
9. Risks
| Risk | Severity | Mitigation | Decision impact |
|---|
| Low / Medium / High | | |
10. Final Decision
| Field | Your answer |
|---|
| Confidence level | Very Low / Low / Medium / High / Very High |
| Final Go / No-Go recommendation | 🟢 Go / 🟡 Gather More Evidence / 🟠 Pivot / 🔴 Stop |
| Why this recommendation? | |
| Evidence supporting the decision | |
| Evidence against the decision | |
| Recommended next action | |
| Next review date | |
| What would change this decision? | |
Confidence rule
Confidence cannot be High if the most important assumption has not been tested. Arceon’s goal is not to make ideas feel safer than they are. The Decision Record should preserve uncertainty until evidence reduces it.